Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.040589 0.044153 0.047750 0.051644 0.055735 0.059899 0.064452
2025-09-21 0.035150 0.040443 0.045966 0.052135 0.058807 0.065783 0.073604
2025-09-28 0.031783 0.038407 0.045522 0.053675 0.062703 0.072342 0.083359
2025-10-05 0.027749 0.035191 0.043409 0.053057 0.063973 0.075847 0.089648
2025-10-12 0.024872 0.032972 0.042148 0.053150 0.065829 0.079839 0.096351
2025-10-19 0.022807 0.031486 0.041542 0.053828 0.068212 0.084319 0.103522
2025-10-26 0.021248 0.030451 0.041338 0.054861 0.070914 0.089097 0.110986
2025-11-02 0.018414 0.027634 0.038819 0.052987 0.070080 0.089696 0.113574
2025-11-09 0.016612 0.025977 0.037592 0.052556 0.070857 0.092088 0.118167
2025-11-16 0.015048 0.024511 0.036504 0.052206 0.071655 0.094448 0.122679
2025-11-23 0.014432 0.024256 0.036909 0.053676 0.074641 0.099388 0.130226
2025-11-30 0.013735 0.023834 0.037058 0.054792 0.077171 0.103777 0.137122
2025-12-07 0.012854 0.023124 0.036825 0.055440 0.079166 0.107590 0.143433
2025-12-14 0.011877 0.022216 0.036281 0.055655 0.080603 0.110726 0.148949
2025-12-21 0.011428 0.022044 0.036708 0.057121 0.083612 0.115786 0.156803
2025-12-28 0.010274 0.020740 0.035523 0.056415 0.083828 0.117397 0.160470
2026-01-04 0.009470 0.019910 0.034949 0.056482 0.085003 0.120170 0.165540
2026-01-11 0.008925 0.019445 0.034858 0.057173 0.086964 0.123911 0.171792
2026-01-18 0.008531 0.019193 0.035054 0.058240 0.089409 0.128258 0.178798
2026-01-25 0.007327 0.017513 0.033099 0.056290 0.087853 0.127542 0.179528
2026-02-01 0.006623 0.016619 0.032256 0.055841 0.088241 0.129255 0.183251
2026-02-08 0.005997 0.015809 0.031497 0.055476 0.088716 0.131061 0.187077
2026-02-15 0.005860 0.015870 0.032069 0.057004 0.091734 0.136125 0.194998